Regional SAB (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 139.86
| RA Stock | MXN 120.22 0.62 0.52% |
Regional |
Regional SAB Target Price Odds to finish below 139.86
The tendency of Regional Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 139.86 after 90 days |
| 120.22 | 90 days | 139.86 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regional SAB to stay under 139.86 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Regional SAB de probability density function shows the probability of Regional Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regional SAB de price to stay between its current price of 120.22 and 139.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Regional SAB de has a beta of -0.15 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Regional SAB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Regional SAB de is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Regional SAB de has an alpha of 0.0174, implying that it can generate a 0.0174 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Regional SAB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Regional SAB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Regional SAB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regional SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regional SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regional SAB de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regional SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Regional SAB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regional Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regional SAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional SAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 327.9 M |
Regional SAB Technical Analysis
Regional SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regional Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regional SAB de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regional Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Regional SAB Predictive Forecast Models
Regional SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regional SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regional SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Regional SAB in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Regional SAB's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Regional SAB options trading.
Additional Tools for Regional Stock Analysis
When running Regional SAB's price analysis, check to measure Regional SAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regional SAB is operating at the current time. Most of Regional SAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regional SAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regional SAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regional SAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.