Rukun Raharja (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1,920
| RAJA Stock | IDR 2,340 160.00 6.40% |
Rukun |
Rukun Raharja Target Price Odds to finish over 1,920
The tendency of Rukun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2,340 | 90 days | 2,340 | roughly 2.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rukun Raharja to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.48 (This Rukun Raharja Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Rukun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 indicating Rukun Raharja Tbk market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Rukun Raharja is expected to follow. Moreover Rukun Raharja Tbk has an alpha of 1.0559, implying that it can generate a 1.06 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rukun Raharja Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rukun Raharja
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rukun Raharja Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rukun Raharja Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rukun Raharja is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rukun Raharja's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rukun Raharja Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rukun Raharja within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 363.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Rukun Raharja Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rukun Raharja for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rukun Raharja Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rukun Raharja Tbk is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Rukun Raharja Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Rukun Raharja generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Rukun Raharja Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rukun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rukun Raharja's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rukun Raharja's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 38.9 M |
Rukun Raharja Technical Analysis
Rukun Raharja's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rukun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rukun Raharja Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rukun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rukun Raharja Predictive Forecast Models
Rukun Raharja's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rukun Raharja's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rukun Raharja's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rukun Raharja Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rukun Raharja for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rukun Raharja Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rukun Raharja Tbk is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Rukun Raharja Tbk appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Rukun Raharja generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Rukun Stock
Rukun Raharja financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rukun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rukun with respect to the benefits of owning Rukun Raharja security.