Raketech Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.28

RAKE Stock  SEK 4.47  0.08  1.76%   
Raketech Group's future price is the expected price of Raketech Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Raketech Group Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Raketech Group Backtesting, Raketech Group Valuation, Raketech Group Correlation, Raketech Group Hype Analysis, Raketech Group Volatility, Raketech Group History as well as Raketech Group Performance.
  
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Raketech Group Target Price Odds to finish below 4.28

The tendency of Raketech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 4.28  or more in 90 days
 4.47 90 days 4.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raketech Group to drop to kr 4.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Raketech Group Holding probability density function shows the probability of Raketech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raketech Group Holding price to stay between kr 4.28  and its current price of kr4.47 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Raketech Group has a beta of 0.76 indicating as returns on the market go up, Raketech Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Raketech Group Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Raketech Group Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Raketech Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Raketech Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raketech Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.004.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.004.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.083.888.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.585.798.00
Details

Raketech Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raketech Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raketech Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raketech Group Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raketech Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Raketech Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raketech Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raketech Group Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Raketech Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Raketech Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Raketech Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raketech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raketech Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raketech Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 M

Raketech Group Technical Analysis

Raketech Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raketech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raketech Group Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raketech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Raketech Group Predictive Forecast Models

Raketech Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Raketech Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raketech Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Raketech Group Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Raketech Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raketech Group Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Raketech Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Raketech Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Raketech Stock Analysis

When running Raketech Group's price analysis, check to measure Raketech Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Raketech Group is operating at the current time. Most of Raketech Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Raketech Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Raketech Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Raketech Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.