Columbia Income Builder Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.75

RBBAX Fund  USD 11.78  0.03  0.26%   
Columbia Income's future price is the expected price of Columbia Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Income Builder performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Income Correlation, Columbia Income Hype Analysis, Columbia Income Volatility, Columbia Income History as well as Columbia Income Performance.
  
Please specify Columbia Income's target price for which you would like Columbia Income odds to be computed.

Columbia Income Target Price Odds to finish below 11.75

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.75  or more in 90 days
 11.78 90 days 11.75 
about 30.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Income to drop to $ 11.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.25 (This Columbia Income Builder probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Income Builder price to stay between $ 11.75  and its current price of $11.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.7 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Income has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, Columbia Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Income Builder will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia Income Builder has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Columbia Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Income Builder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5311.7812.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5311.7812.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4911.7512.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6811.7511.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Income Builder.

Columbia Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Income Builder, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.43

Columbia Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Income Builder can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.55% of its assets in cash

Columbia Income Technical Analysis

Columbia Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Income Builder. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Income Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Income Builder

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Income Builder help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.55% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Income security.
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk