Roscan Gold Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.054

RCGCF Stock  USD 0.06  0.0005  0.88%   
Roscan Gold's future price is the expected price of Roscan Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roscan Gold Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Roscan Gold Backtesting, Roscan Gold Valuation, Roscan Gold Correlation, Roscan Gold Hype Analysis, Roscan Gold Volatility, Roscan Gold History as well as Roscan Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Roscan Gold's target price for which you would like Roscan Gold odds to be computed.

Roscan Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.054

The tendency of Roscan OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.05  or more in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0.05 
about 10.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roscan Gold to drop to $ 0.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.77 (This Roscan Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of Roscan OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Roscan Gold Corp price to stay between $ 0.05  and its current price of $0.0565 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 2.31 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Roscan Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Roscan Gold Corp has an alpha of 0.1116, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Roscan Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roscan Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roscan Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Roscan Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.067.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.057.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.057.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.060.06
Details

Roscan Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roscan Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roscan Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roscan Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roscan Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Roscan Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roscan Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roscan Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roscan Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Roscan Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Roscan Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Roscan Gold Corp has accumulated 7.45 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Roscan Gold Corp has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Roscan Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Roscan Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Roscan Gold Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Roscan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Roscan Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (24.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (120.03 K).
Roscan Gold Corp has accumulated about 258.11 K in cash with (24.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from news.google.com: i-80 Gold Market Overreaction Presents Opportunity - Seeking Alpha

Roscan Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roscan OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roscan Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roscan Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding351.7 M

Roscan Gold Technical Analysis

Roscan Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roscan OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roscan Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roscan OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roscan Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Roscan Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roscan Gold's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roscan Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roscan Gold Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roscan Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roscan Gold Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roscan Gold Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Roscan Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Roscan Gold Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Roscan Gold Corp has accumulated 7.45 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Roscan Gold Corp has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Roscan Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Roscan Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Roscan Gold Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Roscan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Roscan Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (24.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (120.03 K).
Roscan Gold Corp has accumulated about 258.11 K in cash with (24.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from news.google.com: i-80 Gold Market Overreaction Presents Opportunity - Seeking Alpha

Other Information on Investing in Roscan OTC Stock

Roscan Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Roscan OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Roscan with respect to the benefits of owning Roscan Gold security.