Compania Hoteliera (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.2

RCHI Stock   0.20  0.04  16.67%   
Compania Hoteliera's future price is the expected price of Compania Hoteliera instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compania Hoteliera InterContinental performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compania Hoteliera Backtesting, Compania Hoteliera Valuation, Compania Hoteliera Correlation, Compania Hoteliera Hype Analysis, Compania Hoteliera Volatility, Compania Hoteliera History as well as Compania Hoteliera Performance.
  
Please specify Compania Hoteliera's target price for which you would like Compania Hoteliera odds to be computed.

Compania Hoteliera Target Price Odds to finish over 0.2

The tendency of Compania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.20 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compania Hoteliera to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Compania Hoteliera InterContinental probability density function shows the probability of Compania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compania Hoteliera has a beta of 0.0265 indicating as returns on the market go up, Compania Hoteliera average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compania Hoteliera InterContinental will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compania Hoteliera InterContinental has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Compania Hoteliera Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compania Hoteliera

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania Hoteliera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.243.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.203.41
Details

Compania Hoteliera Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compania Hoteliera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compania Hoteliera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compania Hoteliera InterContinental, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compania Hoteliera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Compania Hoteliera Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compania Hoteliera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compania Hoteliera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compania Hoteliera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Compania Hoteliera had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Compania Hoteliera Technical Analysis

Compania Hoteliera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compania Hoteliera InterContinental. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compania Hoteliera Predictive Forecast Models

Compania Hoteliera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compania Hoteliera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compania Hoteliera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compania Hoteliera

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compania Hoteliera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compania Hoteliera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compania Hoteliera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Compania Hoteliera had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Compania Stock

Compania Hoteliera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compania Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compania with respect to the benefits of owning Compania Hoteliera security.