RCL Foods (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,013
| RCL Stock | 900.00 10.00 1.10% |
RCL |
RCL Foods Target Price Odds to finish below 1,013
The tendency of RCL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 900.00 | 90 days | 900.00 | about 43.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RCL Foods to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 43.07 (This RCL Foods probability density function shows the probability of RCL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RCL Foods has a beta of 0.0163 indicating as returns on the market go up, RCL Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RCL Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RCL Foods has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. RCL Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RCL Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RCL Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RCL Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RCL Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RCL Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RCL Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RCL Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 39.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
RCL Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RCL Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RCL Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RCL Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
RCL Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RCL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RCL Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RCL Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 896.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
RCL Foods Technical Analysis
RCL Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RCL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RCL Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing RCL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RCL Foods Predictive Forecast Models
RCL Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many RCL Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RCL Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RCL Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about RCL Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RCL Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RCL Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in RCL Stock
RCL Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether RCL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RCL with respect to the benefits of owning RCL Foods security.