Remy Cointreau (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 58.25

RCO Stock  EUR 58.25  2.60  4.67%   
Remy Cointreau's future price is the expected price of Remy Cointreau instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Remy Cointreau performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Remy Cointreau Backtesting, Remy Cointreau Valuation, Remy Cointreau Correlation, Remy Cointreau Hype Analysis, Remy Cointreau Volatility, Remy Cointreau History as well as Remy Cointreau Performance.
  
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Remy Cointreau Target Price Odds to finish over 58.25

The tendency of Remy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 58.25 90 days 58.25 
about 76.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Remy Cointreau to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.8 (This Remy Cointreau probability density function shows the probability of Remy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Remy Cointreau has a beta of 0.23 indicating as returns on the market go up, Remy Cointreau average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Remy Cointreau will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Remy Cointreau has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Remy Cointreau Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Remy Cointreau

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Remy Cointreau. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.9358.2560.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.7951.1164.08
Details

Remy Cointreau Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Remy Cointreau is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Remy Cointreau's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Remy Cointreau, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Remy Cointreau within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
5.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Remy Cointreau Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Remy Cointreau for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Remy Cointreau can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Remy Cointreau generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Remy Cointreau Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Remy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Remy Cointreau's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Remy Cointreau's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments116.3 M

Remy Cointreau Technical Analysis

Remy Cointreau's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Remy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Remy Cointreau. In general, you should focus on analyzing Remy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Remy Cointreau Predictive Forecast Models

Remy Cointreau's time-series forecasting models is one of many Remy Cointreau's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Remy Cointreau's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Remy Cointreau

Checking the ongoing alerts about Remy Cointreau for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Remy Cointreau help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Remy Cointreau generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Remy Stock

Remy Cointreau financial ratios help investors to determine whether Remy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Remy with respect to the benefits of owning Remy Cointreau security.