Rea (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 193.00

REA Stock   242.71  0.92  0.38%   
Rea's future price is the expected price of Rea instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rea Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rea Backtesting, Rea Valuation, Rea Correlation, Rea Hype Analysis, Rea Volatility, Rea History as well as Rea Performance.
  
Please specify Rea's target price for which you would like Rea odds to be computed.

Rea Target Price Odds to finish below 193.00

The tendency of Rea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  193.00  or more in 90 days
 242.71 90 days 193.00 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rea to drop to  193.00  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Rea Group probability density function shows the probability of Rea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rea Group price to stay between  193.00  and its current price of 242.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rea has a beta of 0.19 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rea average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rea Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rea Group has an alpha of 0.2807, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rea Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rea

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rea Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
241.35242.71244.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
218.44275.17276.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
234.88236.24237.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
242.63249.94257.26
Details

Rea Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rea Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
19.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Rea Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rea Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rea Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments205.1 M

Rea Technical Analysis

Rea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rea Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rea Predictive Forecast Models

Rea's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rea's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rea Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rea Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Rea Stock Analysis

When running Rea's price analysis, check to measure Rea's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rea is operating at the current time. Most of Rea's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rea's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rea's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rea to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.