Research Frontiers Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.61
| REFR Stock | USD 1.94 0.01 0.52% |
Research |
Research Frontiers Target Price Odds to finish below 1.61
The tendency of Research Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.61 or more in 90 days |
| 1.94 | 90 days | 1.61 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Research Frontiers to drop to $ 1.61 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Research Frontiers Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Research Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Research Frontiers price to stay between $ 1.61 and its current price of $1.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.56 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Research Frontiers Incorporated has a beta of -0.0188 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Research Frontiers are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Research Frontiers Incorporated is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Research Frontiers Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Research Frontiers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Research Frontiers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Research Frontiers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Research Frontiers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Research Frontiers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Research Frontiers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Research Frontiers Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Research Frontiers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Research Frontiers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Research Frontiers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Research Frontiers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Research Frontiers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Research Frontiers may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Research Frontiers has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 909.6 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.91 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.02 M). | |
| Research Frontiers Incorporated currently holds about 1.88 M in cash with (2.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Research Frontiers has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Research Frontiers Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Research Frontiers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Research Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Research Frontiers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Research Frontiers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M |
Research Frontiers Technical Analysis
Research Frontiers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Research Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Research Frontiers Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Research Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Research Frontiers Predictive Forecast Models
Research Frontiers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Research Frontiers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Research Frontiers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Research Frontiers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Research Frontiers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Research Frontiers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Research Frontiers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Research Frontiers may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Research Frontiers has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 909.6 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.91 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.02 M). | |
| Research Frontiers Incorporated currently holds about 1.88 M in cash with (2.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Research Frontiers has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Research Frontiers Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Research Stock Analysis
When running Research Frontiers' price analysis, check to measure Research Frontiers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Research Frontiers is operating at the current time. Most of Research Frontiers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Research Frontiers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Research Frontiers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Research Frontiers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.