Research Frontiers Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| REFR Stock | USD 1.20 0.07 5.51% |
Research Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Research Frontiers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Research Frontiers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Research Frontiers fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Research Frontiers' share price is approaching 36 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Research Frontiers, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
Using Research Frontiers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Research Frontiers Incorporated from the perspective of Research Frontiers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Research Frontiers using Research Frontiers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Research using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Research Frontiers' stock price.
Research Frontiers Implied Volatility | 3.37 |
Research Frontiers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Research Frontiers Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Research Frontiers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Research Frontiers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Research Frontiers' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Research Frontiers Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.41. Research Frontiers after-hype prediction price | USD 1.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Research Frontiers to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Research Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Research Frontiers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Research Frontiers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Research Frontiers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Research Frontiers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Research Frontiers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Research Frontiers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Research. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Research Frontiers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Research price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Research using various technical indicators. When you analyze Research charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Research Frontiers Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Research Frontiers Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Research Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Research Frontiers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Research Frontiers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Research Frontiers | Research Frontiers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Research Frontiers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Research Frontiers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Research Frontiers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.21, respectively. We have considered Research Frontiers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Research Frontiers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Research Frontiers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2216 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0148 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0568 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0356 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.41 |
Predictive Modules for Research Frontiers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Research Frontiers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Research Frontiers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Research Frontiers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Research Frontiers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Research Frontiers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Research Frontiers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Research Frontiers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Research Frontiers' historical news coverage. Research Frontiers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.20, respectively. We have considered Research Frontiers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Research Frontiers is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Research Frontiers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Research Frontiers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Research Frontiers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Research Frontiers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Research Frontiers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 4.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.20 | 1.19 | 0.83 |
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Research Frontiers Hype Timeline
Research Frontiers is at this time traded for 1.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Research is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.83%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.65%. The volatility of related hype on Research Frontiers is about 12531.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.22. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.06. Research Frontiers last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. The entity had 5:4 split on the 16th of February 1994. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Research Frontiers to cross-verify your projections.Research Frontiers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Research Frontiers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Research Frontiers' future price movements. Getting to know how Research Frontiers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Research Frontiers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WBX | Wallbox NV | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.60 | (6.84) | 18.65 | |
| HOLO | MicroCloud Hologram | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.57 | (7.62) | 15.30 | |
| CPSH | Cps Technologies | 0.67 | 10 per month | 4.01 | 0.13 | 12.89 | (7.34) | 25.47 | |
| DSWL | Deswell Industries | (0.18) | 7 per month | 3.03 | (0.01) | 5.34 | (5.37) | 23.97 | |
| HKIT | Hitek Global Ordinary | 0.09 | 5 per month | 9.68 | 0.03 | 12.23 | (15.12) | 122.99 | |
| GAME | GameSquare Holdings | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.00 | (8.62) | 21.47 | |
| SOTK | Sono Tek Corp | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.50 | (4.20) | 8.89 | |
| WYY | Widepoint C | (0.31) | 8 per month | 3.64 | 0.04 | 6.97 | (6.84) | 19.90 | |
| CMBM | Cambium Networks Corp | 0.12 | 8 per month | 7.34 | 0.11 | 27.12 | (13.22) | 407.58 | |
| NEON | Neonode | (0.1) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.95 | (5.26) | 17.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Research Frontiers
For every potential investor in Research, whether a beginner or expert, Research Frontiers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Research Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Research. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Research Frontiers' price trends.Research Frontiers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Research Frontiers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Research Frontiers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Research Frontiers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Research Frontiers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Research Frontiers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Research Frontiers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Research Frontiers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Research Frontiers Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Research Frontiers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Research Frontiers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Research Frontiers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting research stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.0 | |||
| Variance | 24.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Research Frontiers
The number of cover stories for Research Frontiers depends on current market conditions and Research Frontiers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Research Frontiers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Research Frontiers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Research Frontiers Short Properties
Research Frontiers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Research Frontiers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Research Frontiers Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Research Frontiers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Research Frontiers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
Additional Tools for Research Stock Analysis
When running Research Frontiers' price analysis, check to measure Research Frontiers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Research Frontiers is operating at the current time. Most of Research Frontiers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Research Frontiers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Research Frontiers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Research Frontiers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.