Sturm Ruger Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.47
| RGR Stock | USD 38.03 0.05 0.13% |
Sturm |
Sturm Ruger Target Price Odds to finish over 41.47
The tendency of Sturm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 41.47 or more in 90 days |
| 38.03 | 90 days | 41.47 | about 27.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sturm Ruger to move over $ 41.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.27 (This Sturm Ruger probability density function shows the probability of Sturm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sturm Ruger price to stay between its current price of $ 38.03 and $ 41.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Sturm Ruger has a beta of 0.32 indicating as returns on the market go up, Sturm Ruger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sturm Ruger will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sturm Ruger has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sturm Ruger Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sturm Ruger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sturm Ruger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sturm Ruger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sturm Ruger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sturm Ruger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sturm Ruger, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sturm Ruger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Sturm Ruger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sturm Ruger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sturm Ruger can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sturm Ruger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Sturm Ruger paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is Sturm, Ruger Company, Inc. Among the Best Small Cap Defense Stocks to Buy Now |
Sturm Ruger Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sturm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sturm Ruger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sturm Ruger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 117.7 M |
Sturm Ruger Technical Analysis
Sturm Ruger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sturm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sturm Ruger. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sturm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sturm Ruger Predictive Forecast Models
Sturm Ruger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sturm Ruger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sturm Ruger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sturm Ruger
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sturm Ruger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sturm Ruger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sturm Ruger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Sturm Ruger paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is Sturm, Ruger Company, Inc. Among the Best Small Cap Defense Stocks to Buy Now |
Additional Tools for Sturm Stock Analysis
When running Sturm Ruger's price analysis, check to measure Sturm Ruger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sturm Ruger is operating at the current time. Most of Sturm Ruger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sturm Ruger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sturm Ruger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sturm Ruger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.