Sturm Ruger Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| RGR Stock | USD 37.45 0.44 1.16% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sturm Ruger on the next trading day is expected to be 37.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.83. Sturm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sturm Ruger's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sturm Ruger's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sturm Ruger fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sturm Ruger's share price is at 50 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sturm Ruger, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.381 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.55 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.92 | Wall Street Target Price 44.5 |
Using Sturm Ruger hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sturm Ruger from the perspective of Sturm Ruger response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sturm Ruger using Sturm Ruger's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sturm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sturm Ruger's stock price.
Sturm Ruger Short Interest
An investor who is long Sturm Ruger may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sturm Ruger and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sturm Ruger with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 36.7048 | Short Percent 0.0812 | Short Ratio 2.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 32.866 |
Sturm Ruger Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sturm Ruger's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sturm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sturm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sturm Ruger. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sturm Ruger Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
Sturm Ruger's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sturm Ruger stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sturm Ruger's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sturm Ruger stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sturm Ruger's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sturm Ruger on the next trading day is expected to be 37.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.83. Sturm Ruger after-hype prediction price | USD 37.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sturm Ruger to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sturm contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sturm Ruger will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sturm Ruger trading at USD 37.45, that is roughly USD 0.0108 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sturm Ruger's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sturm Ruger options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sturm Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sturm Ruger's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sturm Ruger's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sturm Ruger stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sturm Ruger's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sturm Ruger's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sturm Ruger is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sturm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sturm Ruger Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sturm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sturm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sturm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sturm Ruger Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sturm Ruger on the next trading day is expected to be 37.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 2.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sturm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sturm Ruger's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sturm Ruger Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sturm Ruger | Sturm Ruger Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sturm Ruger Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sturm Ruger's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sturm Ruger's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.12 and 40.78, respectively. We have considered Sturm Ruger's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sturm Ruger stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sturm Ruger stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1072 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2336 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9304 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0267 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 55.825 |
Predictive Modules for Sturm Ruger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sturm Ruger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sturm Ruger After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sturm Ruger at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sturm Ruger or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sturm Ruger, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sturm Ruger Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sturm Ruger's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sturm Ruger's historical news coverage. Sturm Ruger's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.15 and 40.75, respectively. We have considered Sturm Ruger's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sturm Ruger is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sturm Ruger is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sturm Ruger Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sturm Ruger is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sturm Ruger backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sturm Ruger, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.33 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 24 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 24 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.45 | 37.45 | 0.00 |
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Sturm Ruger Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Sturm Ruger is traded for 37.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Sturm is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sturm Ruger is about 3659.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.42. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sturm Ruger was at this time reported as 18.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. Sturm Ruger had 374:1000 split on the 24th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 24 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sturm Ruger to cross-verify your projections.Sturm Ruger Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sturm Ruger's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sturm Ruger's future price movements. Getting to know how Sturm Ruger's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sturm Ruger may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EH | Ehang Holdings | (0.08) | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.79 | (5.09) | 17.58 | |
| SKYH | Sky Harbour Group | (0.08) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.60 | (3.32) | 12.01 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | (0.15) | 17 per month | 2.04 | 0.05 | 2.80 | (2.71) | 10.36 | |
| TATT | Tat Techno | (0.08) | 10 per month | 2.84 | 0.10 | 5.38 | (3.62) | 13.21 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | (0.23) | 7 per month | 1.85 | 0.20 | 6.22 | (4.25) | 13.97 | |
| VSTS | Vestis | (0.27) | 3 per month | 3.21 | 0.13 | 6.21 | (6.30) | 18.68 | |
| GHM | Graham | (0.12) | 16 per month | 2.89 | 0.1 | 5.13 | (4.93) | 12.20 | |
| TRNS | Transcat | 0.41 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.16 | (3.69) | 17.88 | |
| LGMK | LogicMark | (0.04) | 31 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 17.14 | (19.10) | 57.77 | |
| LTBR | Lightbridge Corp | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.09 | (10.77) | 32.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sturm Ruger
For every potential investor in Sturm, whether a beginner or expert, Sturm Ruger's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sturm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sturm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sturm Ruger's price trends.Sturm Ruger Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sturm Ruger stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sturm Ruger could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sturm Ruger by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sturm Ruger Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sturm Ruger stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sturm Ruger shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sturm Ruger stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sturm Ruger entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sturm Ruger Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sturm Ruger's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sturm Ruger's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sturm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.21 | |||
| Variance | 10.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sturm Ruger
The number of cover stories for Sturm Ruger depends on current market conditions and Sturm Ruger's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sturm Ruger is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sturm Ruger's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sturm Ruger Short Properties
Sturm Ruger's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sturm Ruger's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sturm Ruger often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sturm Ruger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sturm Ruger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 105.5 M |
Additional Tools for Sturm Stock Analysis
When running Sturm Ruger's price analysis, check to measure Sturm Ruger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sturm Ruger is operating at the current time. Most of Sturm Ruger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sturm Ruger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sturm Ruger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sturm Ruger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.