Rmr Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.34

RMR Stock  USD 22.01  0.14  0.63%   
RMR's future price is the expected price of RMR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RMR Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RMR Backtesting, RMR Valuation, RMR Correlation, RMR Hype Analysis, RMR Volatility, RMR History as well as RMR Performance.
  
At this time, RMR's Price Earnings Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/25/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 2.90, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.09). Please specify RMR's target price for which you would like RMR odds to be computed.

RMR Target Price Odds to finish below 24.34

The tendency of RMR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 24.34  after 90 days
 22.01 90 days 24.34 
about 55.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RMR to stay under $ 24.34  after 90 days from now is about 55.11 (This RMR Group probability density function shows the probability of RMR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RMR Group price to stay between its current price of $ 22.01  and $ 24.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.81 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon RMR has a beta of 0.99 indicating RMR Group market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, RMR is expected to follow. Additionally RMR Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   RMR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RMR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RMR Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.6321.9923.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8126.5127.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0421.4022.76
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.5330.2533.58
Details

RMR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RMR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RMR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RMR Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RMR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
0.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

RMR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RMR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RMR Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RMR Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
RMR Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2024 RMR paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The RMR Group Sets New 52-Week Low Whats Next

RMR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RMR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RMR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RMR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.2 M

RMR Technical Analysis

RMR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RMR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RMR Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing RMR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RMR Predictive Forecast Models

RMR's time-series forecasting models is one of many RMR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RMR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RMR Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about RMR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RMR Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RMR Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
RMR Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2024 RMR paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: The RMR Group Sets New 52-Week Low Whats Next

Additional Tools for RMR Stock Analysis

When running RMR's price analysis, check to measure RMR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RMR is operating at the current time. Most of RMR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RMR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RMR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RMR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.