RMR Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| RMR Stock | USD 16.05 0.19 1.17% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RMR Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.44. RMR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although RMR's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of RMR's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of RMR fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of RMR's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.825 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.83 | Wall Street Target Price 20.5 |
Using RMR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RMR Group from the perspective of RMR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RMR using RMR's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RMR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RMR's stock price.
RMR Short Interest
An investor who is long RMR may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about RMR and may potentially protect profits, hedge RMR with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.7718 | Short Percent 0.0884 | Short Ratio 5.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 815.4 K | 50 Day MA 15.5254 |
RMR Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to RMR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RMR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RMR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RMR Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
RMR Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
RMR's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RMR Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RMR's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RMR stock will not fluctuate a lot when RMR's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RMR Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.44. RMR after-hype prediction price | USD 16.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RMR to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current RMR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that RMR Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0613% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With RMR trading at USD 16.05, that is roughly USD 0.009831 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating RMR's daily price movement you should consider acquiring RMR Group options at the current volatility level of 0.98%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 RMR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast RMR's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in RMR's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for RMR stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current RMR's open interest, investors have to compare it to RMR's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of RMR is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in RMR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
RMR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RMR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RMR using various technical indicators. When you analyze RMR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RMR Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RMR Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RMR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RMR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RMR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RMR | RMR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
RMR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RMR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RMR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.46 and 17.64, respectively. We have considered RMR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RMR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RMR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6306 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.038 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2073 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0133 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.44 |
Predictive Modules for RMR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RMR Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RMR After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RMR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RMR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RMR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RMR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RMR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RMR's historical news coverage. RMR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.46 and 17.64, respectively. We have considered RMR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RMR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RMR Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
RMR Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RMR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RMR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RMR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.05 | 16.05 | 0.00 |
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RMR Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January RMR Group is traded for 16.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. RMR is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on RMR is about 447.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.11. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RMR Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RMR to cross-verify your projections.RMR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RMR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RMR's future price movements. Getting to know how RMR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RMR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRPH | Frp Holdings Ord | 0.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.27 | (2.90) | 8.28 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.13 | 7 per month | 0.80 | 0.20 | 2.47 | (1.86) | 8.03 | |
| FPH | Five Point Holdings | 1.24 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.56 | (2.83) | 6.59 | |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.01 | (5.50) | 17.41 | |
| SVC | Service Properties Trust | 3.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.49 | (5.29) | 17.15 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | (0.21) | 7 per month | 1.01 | (0.02) | 2.17 | (1.72) | 6.81 | |
| FPI | Farmland Partners | (0.05) | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.03 | 2.03 | (1.87) | 5.49 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | (0.30) | 11 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.05 | (2.05) | 6.30 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.28) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 1.71 | (1.72) | 4.95 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | (0.37) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.30 | (2.62) | 6.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for RMR
For every potential investor in RMR, whether a beginner or expert, RMR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RMR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RMR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RMR's price trends.RMR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RMR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RMR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RMR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RMR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RMR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RMR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RMR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RMR Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5272.75 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.56) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) |
RMR Risk Indicators
The analysis of RMR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RMR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rmr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RMR
The number of cover stories for RMR depends on current market conditions and RMR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RMR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RMR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RMR Short Properties
RMR's future price predictability will typically decrease when RMR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RMR Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RMR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RMR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 62.3 M |
Additional Tools for RMR Stock Analysis
When running RMR's price analysis, check to measure RMR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RMR is operating at the current time. Most of RMR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RMR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RMR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RMR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.