Rockworth Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.0

ROCK Stock  THB 10.20  0.10  0.97%   
Rockworth Public's future price is the expected price of Rockworth Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rockworth Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rockworth Public Backtesting, Rockworth Public Valuation, Rockworth Public Correlation, Rockworth Public Hype Analysis, Rockworth Public Volatility, Rockworth Public History as well as Rockworth Public Performance.
  
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Rockworth Public Target Price Odds to finish below 11.0

The tendency of Rockworth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  11.00  after 90 days
 10.20 90 days 11.00 
about 72.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rockworth Public to stay under  11.00  after 90 days from now is about 72.08 (This Rockworth Public probability density function shows the probability of Rockworth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rockworth Public price to stay between its current price of  10.20  and  11.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rockworth Public has a beta of 0.16 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rockworth Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rockworth Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rockworth Public has an alpha of 0.0206, implying that it can generate a 0.0206 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Rockworth Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rockworth Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rockworth Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.1710.2014.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.688.7112.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.4110.4414.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9210.4310.94
Details

Rockworth Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rockworth Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rockworth Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rockworth Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rockworth Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Rockworth Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rockworth Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rockworth Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rockworth Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 381.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 95.61 M.
Rockworth Public has accumulated about 139.15 M in cash with (68.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.96.
Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rockworth Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rockworth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rockworth Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rockworth Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M

Rockworth Public Technical Analysis

Rockworth Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rockworth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rockworth Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rockworth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rockworth Public Predictive Forecast Models

Rockworth Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rockworth Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rockworth Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rockworth Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rockworth Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rockworth Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rockworth Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 381.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 95.61 M.
Rockworth Public has accumulated about 139.15 M in cash with (68.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.96.
Roughly 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rockworth Stock

Rockworth Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rockworth Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rockworth with respect to the benefits of owning Rockworth Public security.