Rockfire Resources (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| ROCK Stock | 0.11 0.00 0.00% |
Rockfire |
Rockfire Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Rockfire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.11 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rockfire Resources to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rockfire Resources plc probability density function shows the probability of Rockfire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rockfire Resources plc price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 0.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rockfire Resources plc has a beta of -0.41 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rockfire Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rockfire Resources plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rockfire Resources plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rockfire Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rockfire Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rockfire Resources plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rockfire Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rockfire Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rockfire Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rockfire Resources plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rockfire Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Rockfire Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rockfire Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rockfire Resources plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rockfire Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rockfire Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Rockfire Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Rockfire Resources generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rockfire Resources Advances Exploration at Molaoi Zinc Deposit - TipRanks |
Rockfire Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rockfire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rockfire Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rockfire Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 436.6 K |
Rockfire Resources Technical Analysis
Rockfire Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rockfire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rockfire Resources plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rockfire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rockfire Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Rockfire Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rockfire Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rockfire Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rockfire Resources plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rockfire Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rockfire Resources plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rockfire Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rockfire Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Rockfire Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Rockfire Resources generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rockfire Resources Advances Exploration at Molaoi Zinc Deposit - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Rockfire Stock Analysis
When running Rockfire Resources' price analysis, check to measure Rockfire Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rockfire Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Rockfire Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rockfire Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rockfire Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rockfire Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.