ROHM Co (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.24

ROM Stock  EUR 13.24  0.74  5.29%   
ROHM Co's future price is the expected price of ROHM Co instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ROHM Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ROHM Co Analysis, ROHM Co Valuation, ROHM Co Correlation, ROHM Co Hype Analysis, ROHM Co Volatility, ROHM Co Price History as well as ROHM Co Performance.
  
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ROHM Co Target Price Odds to finish over 13.24

The tendency of ROHM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.24 90 days 13.24 
about 24.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ROHM Co to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.98 (This ROHM Co probability density function shows the probability of ROHM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ROHM Co has a beta of 0.0119 indicating as returns on the market go up, ROHM Co average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ROHM Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ROHM Co has an alpha of 0.0068, implying that it can generate a 0.006758 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ROHM Co Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ROHM Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROHM Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0613.4015.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.6510.9913.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2212.5614.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
152.39156.86161.34
Details

ROHM Co Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ROHM Co is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ROHM Co's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ROHM Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ROHM Co within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.0092

ROHM Co Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ROHM Co for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ROHM Co can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ROHM Co has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 448.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (50.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76.02 B.
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is ROHM Still Attractive After Its 88 percent One Year Share Price Surge - Yahoo Finance

ROHM Co Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ROHM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ROHM Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ROHM Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding386 M
Dividends Paid-19.3 B

ROHM Co Technical Analysis

ROHM Co's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ROHM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ROHM Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing ROHM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ROHM Co Predictive Forecast Models

ROHM Co's time-series forecasting models is one of many ROHM Co's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ROHM Co's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ROHM Co

Checking the ongoing alerts about ROHM Co for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ROHM Co help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ROHM Co has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 448.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (50.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 76.02 B.
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is ROHM Still Attractive After Its 88 percent One Year Share Price Surge - Yahoo Finance

Other Information on Investing in ROHM Stock

ROHM Co financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROHM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROHM with respect to the benefits of owning ROHM Co security.