ROHM Co Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average

ROM Stock  EUR 13.37  0.13  0.98%   
ROHM Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ROHM Co's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ROHM Co's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ROHM Co's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ROHM Co and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ROHM Co's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ROHM Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ROHM Co's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Wall Street Target Price
13.7 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.126
Using ROHM Co hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ROHM Co from the perspective of ROHM Co response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ROHM Co on the next trading day is expected to be 13.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.19.

ROHM Co after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 13.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ROHM Co to cross-verify your projections.

ROHM Co Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ROHM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ROHM using various technical indicators. When you analyze ROHM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for ROHM Co is based on an artificially constructed time series of ROHM Co daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

ROHM Co 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ROHM Co on the next trading day is expected to be 13.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ROHM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ROHM Co's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ROHM Co Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ROHM Co  ROHM Co Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

ROHM Co Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ROHM Co's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ROHM Co's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.66 and 16.31, respectively. We have considered ROHM Co's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.37
13.98
Expected Value
16.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ROHM Co stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ROHM Co stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.2152
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2051
MADMean absolute deviation0.4753
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0373
SAESum of the absolute errors25.1887
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. ROHM Co 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for ROHM Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROHM Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2213.5415.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7211.0414.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.3512.6214.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
152.39156.86161.34
Details

ROHM Co After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ROHM Co at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ROHM Co or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ROHM Co, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ROHM Co Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ROHM Co's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ROHM Co's historical news coverage. ROHM Co's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.22 and 15.86, respectively. We have considered ROHM Co's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.37
13.54
After-hype Price
15.86
Upside
ROHM Co is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ROHM Co is based on 3 months time horizon.

ROHM Co Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ROHM Co is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ROHM Co backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ROHM Co, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.32
  0.17 
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.37
13.54
1.27 
454.90  
Notes

ROHM Co Hype Timeline

ROHM Co is at this time traded for 13.37on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. ROHM is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 1.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on ROHM Co is about 23200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.37. The company reported the revenue of 448.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (50.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 84.95 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ROHM Co to cross-verify your projections.

ROHM Co Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ROHM Co's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ROHM Co's future price movements. Getting to know how ROHM Co's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ROHM Co may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for ROHM Co

For every potential investor in ROHM, whether a beginner or expert, ROHM Co's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ROHM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ROHM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ROHM Co's price trends.

ROHM Co Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ROHM Co stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ROHM Co could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ROHM Co by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ROHM Co Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ROHM Co stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ROHM Co shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ROHM Co stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ROHM Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ROHM Co Risk Indicators

The analysis of ROHM Co's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ROHM Co's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rohm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ROHM Co

The number of cover stories for ROHM Co depends on current market conditions and ROHM Co's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ROHM Co is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ROHM Co's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

ROHM Co Short Properties

ROHM Co's future price predictability will typically decrease when ROHM Co's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ROHM Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ROHM Co's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ROHM Co's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding386 M
Dividends Paid-19.3 B

Other Information on Investing in ROHM Stock

ROHM Co financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROHM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROHM with respect to the benefits of owning ROHM Co security.