Reyna Silver Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0553

RSNVF Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  14.92%   
Reyna Silver's future price is the expected price of Reyna Silver instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reyna Silver Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Reyna Silver Backtesting, Reyna Silver Valuation, Reyna Silver Correlation, Reyna Silver Hype Analysis, Reyna Silver Volatility, Reyna Silver History as well as Reyna Silver Performance.
  
Please specify Reyna Silver's target price for which you would like Reyna Silver odds to be computed.

Reyna Silver Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0553

The tendency of Reyna OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0.06 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reyna Silver to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Reyna Silver Corp probability density function shows the probability of Reyna OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Reyna Silver Corp has a beta of -0.67 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Reyna Silver are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Reyna Silver Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Reyna Silver Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Reyna Silver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reyna Silver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reyna Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reyna Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.064.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.054.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.054.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.08
Details

Reyna Silver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reyna Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reyna Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reyna Silver Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reyna Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.98
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Reyna Silver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reyna Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reyna Silver Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reyna Silver Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Reyna Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Reyna Silver Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Reyna Silver Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (11.86 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (431).
Reyna Silver Corp has accumulated about 9.73 M in cash with (10.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Reyna Silver Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reyna OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reyna Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reyna Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.6 M

Reyna Silver Technical Analysis

Reyna Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reyna OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reyna Silver Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reyna OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reyna Silver Predictive Forecast Models

Reyna Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reyna Silver's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reyna Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reyna Silver Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reyna Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reyna Silver Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reyna Silver Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Reyna Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Reyna Silver Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Reyna Silver Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (11.86 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (431).
Reyna Silver Corp has accumulated about 9.73 M in cash with (10.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Reyna OTC Stock

Reyna Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reyna OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reyna with respect to the benefits of owning Reyna Silver security.