Vaneck Retail Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 228.85
| RTH Etf | USD 232.40 1.71 0.74% |
Closest to current price VanEck long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
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VanEck Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 228.85
The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 228.85 or more in 90 days |
| 232.40 | 90 days | 228.85 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Retail to drop to $ 228.85 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This VanEck Retail ETF probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Retail ETF price to stay between $ 228.85 and its current price of $232.4 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.8 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon VanEck Retail has a beta of 0.63 indicating as returns on the market go up, VanEck Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Retail ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Retail ETF has an alpha of 0.0645, implying that it can generate a 0.0645 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VanEck Retail Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VanEck Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Retail ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Retail ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
VanEck Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Retail ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Analysts See Growth Potential In Ross Stores Amid Holiday Season Optimism Details | |
| The fund maintains 99.94% of its assets in stocks |
VanEck Retail Technical Analysis
VanEck Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Retail ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VanEck Retail Predictive Forecast Models
VanEck Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Retail's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VanEck Retail ETF
Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Retail ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Analysts See Growth Potential In Ross Stores Amid Holiday Season Optimism Details | |
| The fund maintains 99.94% of its assets in stocks |
Check out VanEck Retail Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Retail Correlation, VanEck Retail Hype Analysis, VanEck Retail Volatility, VanEck Retail History as well as VanEck Retail Performance. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
The market value of VanEck Retail ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Retail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Retail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Retail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Retail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Retail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.