Inverse Dow 2x Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 24.84
| RYCWX Fund | USD 26.56 0.16 0.61% |
Inverse |
Inverse Dow Target Price Odds to finish below 24.84
The tendency of Inverse Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 24.84 or more in 90 days |
| 26.56 | 90 days | 24.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inverse Dow to drop to $ 24.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Inverse Dow 2x probability density function shows the probability of Inverse Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inverse Dow 2x price to stay between $ 24.84 and its current price of $26.56 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Dow 2x has a beta of -1.99 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Inverse Dow 2x are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Inverse Dow is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Inverse Dow 2x has an alpha of 0.0057, implying that it can generate a 0.00571 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inverse Dow Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Inverse Dow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inverse Dow 2x. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inverse Dow's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inverse Dow Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inverse Dow is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inverse Dow's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inverse Dow 2x, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inverse Dow within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Inverse Dow Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inverse Dow for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inverse Dow 2x can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inverse Dow 2x generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| This fund generated-28.0 ten year return of -28.0% | |
| Inverse Dow maintains about 49.9% of its assets in cash |
Inverse Dow Technical Analysis
Inverse Dow's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inverse Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inverse Dow 2x. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inverse Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inverse Dow Predictive Forecast Models
Inverse Dow's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inverse Dow's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inverse Dow's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inverse Dow 2x
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inverse Dow for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inverse Dow 2x help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inverse Dow 2x generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| This fund generated-28.0 ten year return of -28.0% | |
| Inverse Dow maintains about 49.9% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Inverse Mutual Fund
Inverse Dow financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inverse Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inverse with respect to the benefits of owning Inverse Dow security.
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