Brunara SA (Spain) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 19.96
| S1013 Fund | EUR 24.46 0.04 0.16% |
Brunara |
Brunara SA Target Price Odds to finish below 19.96
The tendency of Brunara Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 19.96 or more in 90 days |
| 24.46 | 90 days | 19.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brunara SA to drop to € 19.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brunara SA SICAV probability density function shows the probability of Brunara Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brunara SA SICAV price to stay between € 19.96 and its current price of €24.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brunara SA has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Brunara SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brunara SA SICAV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brunara SA SICAV has an alpha of 0.0382, implying that it can generate a 0.0382 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brunara SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brunara SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brunara SA SICAV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brunara SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brunara SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brunara SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brunara SA SICAV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brunara SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Brunara SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brunara Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brunara SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brunara SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Brunara SA Technical Analysis
Brunara SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brunara Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brunara SA SICAV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brunara Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brunara SA Predictive Forecast Models
Brunara SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brunara SA's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brunara SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Brunara SA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Brunara SA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Brunara SA options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Brunara Fund
Brunara SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brunara Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brunara with respect to the benefits of owning Brunara SA security.
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