Ossiam Stoxx (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 135.01

S6EW Etf  EUR 122.74  1.36  1.12%   
Ossiam Stoxx's future price is the expected price of Ossiam Stoxx instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ossiam Stoxx Europe performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ossiam Stoxx Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ossiam Stoxx Correlation, Ossiam Stoxx Hype Analysis, Ossiam Stoxx Volatility, Ossiam Stoxx History as well as Ossiam Stoxx Performance.
  
Please specify Ossiam Stoxx's target price for which you would like Ossiam Stoxx odds to be computed.

Ossiam Stoxx Target Price Odds to finish over 135.01

The tendency of Ossiam Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 135.01  or more in 90 days
 122.74 90 days 135.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ossiam Stoxx to move over € 135.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ossiam Stoxx Europe probability density function shows the probability of Ossiam Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ossiam Stoxx Europe price to stay between its current price of € 122.74  and € 135.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ossiam Stoxx has a beta of 0.34. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Ossiam Stoxx average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ossiam Stoxx Europe will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ossiam Stoxx Europe has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ossiam Stoxx Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ossiam Stoxx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ossiam Stoxx Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.12122.74123.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.58123.20123.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
122.15122.78123.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
121.00122.29123.57
Details

Ossiam Stoxx Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ossiam Stoxx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ossiam Stoxx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ossiam Stoxx Europe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ossiam Stoxx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Ossiam Stoxx Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ossiam Stoxx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ossiam Stoxx Europe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ossiam Stoxx Europe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.66% of its assets in stocks

Ossiam Stoxx Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ossiam Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ossiam Stoxx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ossiam Stoxx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day143
Average Daily Volume In Three Month268

Ossiam Stoxx Technical Analysis

Ossiam Stoxx's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ossiam Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ossiam Stoxx Europe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ossiam Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ossiam Stoxx Predictive Forecast Models

Ossiam Stoxx's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ossiam Stoxx's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ossiam Stoxx's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ossiam Stoxx Europe

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ossiam Stoxx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ossiam Stoxx Europe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ossiam Stoxx Europe generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.66% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Ossiam Etf

Ossiam Stoxx financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ossiam Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ossiam with respect to the benefits of owning Ossiam Stoxx security.