Sailpoint, Common Stock Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.81

SAIL Stock  USD 20.81  0.17  0.81%   
SailPoint, Common's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on SailPoint, Common Stock. Implied volatility approximates the future value of SailPoint, Common based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in SailPoint, Common Stock over a specific time period. For example, SAIL260320C00020000 is a PUT option contract on SailPoint, Common's common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2026-03-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 80 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.35, and an ask price of $2.65. The implied volatility as of the 31st of December is 80.0. View All SailPoint, options

Closest to current price SailPoint, long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

SailPoint, Common's future price is the expected price of SailPoint, Common instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SailPoint, Common Stock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SailPoint, Common Backtesting, SailPoint, Common Valuation, SailPoint, Common Correlation, SailPoint, Common Hype Analysis, SailPoint, Common Volatility, SailPoint, Common History as well as SailPoint, Common Performance.
At this time, SailPoint, Common's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is expected to rise to 5.10 this year, although the value of Price Earnings Ratio is projected to rise to (33.44). Please specify SailPoint, Common's target price for which you would like SailPoint, Common odds to be computed.

SailPoint, Common Target Price Odds to finish over 20.81

The tendency of SailPoint, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.81 90 days 20.81 
about 53.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SailPoint, Common to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.17 (This SailPoint, Common Stock probability density function shows the probability of SailPoint, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SailPoint, Common will likely underperform. Additionally SailPoint, Common Stock has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SailPoint, Common Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SailPoint, Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SailPoint, Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8420.8123.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0518.0220.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.4219.3922.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.080.05
Details

SailPoint, Common Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SailPoint, Common is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SailPoint, Common's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SailPoint, Common Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SailPoint, Common within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

SailPoint, Common Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SailPoint, Common for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SailPoint, Common Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SailPoint, Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SailPoint, Common Stock currently holds 1.05 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SailPoint, Common Stock has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SailPoint, Common's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 861.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (315.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 568.37 M.
SailPoint, Common Stock currently holds about 414.64 M in cash with (106.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.4.
Over 99.0% of SailPoint, Common shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: OFI Invest Asset Management Takes Position in SailPoint, Inc. SAIL

SailPoint, Common Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SailPoint, Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SailPoint, Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SailPoint, Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding546.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments121.3 M

SailPoint, Common Technical Analysis

SailPoint, Common's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SailPoint, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SailPoint, Common Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing SailPoint, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SailPoint, Common Predictive Forecast Models

SailPoint, Common's time-series forecasting models is one of many SailPoint, Common's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SailPoint, Common's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SailPoint, Common Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about SailPoint, Common for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SailPoint, Common Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SailPoint, Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
SailPoint, Common Stock currently holds 1.05 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.08, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SailPoint, Common Stock has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SailPoint, Common's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 861.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (315.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 568.37 M.
SailPoint, Common Stock currently holds about 414.64 M in cash with (106.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.4.
Over 99.0% of SailPoint, Common shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: OFI Invest Asset Management Takes Position in SailPoint, Inc. SAIL
When determining whether SailPoint, Common Stock is a strong investment it is important to analyze SailPoint, Common's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact SailPoint, Common's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SailPoint, Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SailPoint, Common. If investors know SailPoint, will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SailPoint, Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.63)
Revenue Per Share
5.544
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.228
The market value of SailPoint, Common Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SailPoint, that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SailPoint, Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SailPoint, Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SailPoint, Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SailPoint, Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SailPoint, Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SailPoint, Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SailPoint, Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.