Sap Se Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 235.55

SAPGF Stock  USD 237.00  4.24  1.82%   
SAP SE's future price is the expected price of SAP SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SAP SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SAP SE Backtesting, SAP SE Valuation, SAP SE Correlation, SAP SE Hype Analysis, SAP SE Volatility, SAP SE History as well as SAP SE Performance.
  
Please specify SAP SE's target price for which you would like SAP SE odds to be computed.

SAP SE Target Price Odds to finish over 235.55

The tendency of SAP Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 235.55  in 90 days
 237.00 90 days 235.55 
about 12.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SAP SE to stay above $ 235.55  in 90 days from now is about 12.82 (This SAP SE probability density function shows the probability of SAP Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SAP SE price to stay between $ 235.55  and its current price of $237.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon SAP SE has a beta of 0.38. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SAP SE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SAP SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SAP SE has an alpha of 0.0628, implying that it can generate a 0.0628 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SAP SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SAP SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SAP SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
231.29232.76234.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
227.61229.08256.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SAP SE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SAP SE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SAP SE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SAP SE.

SAP SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SAP SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SAP SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SAP SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SAP SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
7.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.0062

SAP SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SAP SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SAP SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SAP SE has accumulated 9.24 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SAP SE has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SAP SE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SAP SE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SAP SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SAP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SAP SE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 12.0% of SAP SE outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

SAP SE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SAP Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SAP SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAP SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

SAP SE Technical Analysis

SAP SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SAP Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SAP SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing SAP Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SAP SE Predictive Forecast Models

SAP SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many SAP SE's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SAP SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SAP SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about SAP SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SAP SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SAP SE has accumulated 9.24 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. SAP SE has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SAP SE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SAP SE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SAP SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SAP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SAP SE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 12.0% of SAP SE outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in SAP Pink Sheet

SAP SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether SAP Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SAP with respect to the benefits of owning SAP SE security.