Gr Sarantis (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.8

SAR Stock  EUR 10.72  0.08  0.74%   
Gr Sarantis' future price is the expected price of Gr Sarantis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gr Sarantis SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gr Sarantis Backtesting, Gr Sarantis Valuation, Gr Sarantis Correlation, Gr Sarantis Hype Analysis, Gr Sarantis Volatility, Gr Sarantis History as well as Gr Sarantis Performance.
  
Please specify Gr Sarantis' target price for which you would like Gr Sarantis odds to be computed.

Gr Sarantis Target Price Odds to finish below 10.8

The tendency of SAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 10.80  after 90 days
 10.72 90 days 10.80 
about 47.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gr Sarantis to stay under € 10.80  after 90 days from now is about 47.76 (This Gr Sarantis SA probability density function shows the probability of SAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gr Sarantis SA price to stay between its current price of € 10.72  and € 10.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gr Sarantis SA has a beta of -0.0689. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gr Sarantis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gr Sarantis SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gr Sarantis SA has an alpha of 0.0927, implying that it can generate a 0.0927 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gr Sarantis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gr Sarantis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gr Sarantis SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5910.8012.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.488.6911.88
Details

Gr Sarantis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gr Sarantis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gr Sarantis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gr Sarantis SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gr Sarantis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Gr Sarantis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gr Sarantis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gr Sarantis SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Gr Sarantis Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SAR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gr Sarantis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gr Sarantis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67 M

Gr Sarantis Technical Analysis

Gr Sarantis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gr Sarantis SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing SAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gr Sarantis Predictive Forecast Models

Gr Sarantis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Gr Sarantis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gr Sarantis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gr Sarantis SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gr Sarantis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gr Sarantis SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for SAR Stock Analysis

When running Gr Sarantis' price analysis, check to measure Gr Sarantis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gr Sarantis is operating at the current time. Most of Gr Sarantis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gr Sarantis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gr Sarantis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gr Sarantis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.