Sanmina (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.2
| SAYN Stock | EUR 74.70 0.42 0.56% |
Sanmina |
Sanmina Target Price Odds to finish below 74.2
The tendency of Sanmina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 74.20 or more in 90 days |
| 74.70 | 90 days | 74.20 | about 87.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sanmina to drop to € 74.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.31 (This Sanmina probability density function shows the probability of Sanmina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sanmina price to stay between € 74.20 and its current price of €74.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sanmina has a beta of -0.0477. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sanmina are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sanmina is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sanmina has an alpha of 0.408, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sanmina Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sanmina
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanmina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sanmina Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sanmina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sanmina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sanmina, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sanmina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Sanmina Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sanmina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sanmina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Sanmina Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sanmina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sanmina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sanmina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.8 M |
Sanmina Technical Analysis
Sanmina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sanmina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sanmina. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sanmina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sanmina Predictive Forecast Models
Sanmina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sanmina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sanmina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sanmina
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sanmina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sanmina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Sanmina Stock
When determining whether Sanmina is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sanmina's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sanmina's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sanmina Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Sanmina Backtesting, Sanmina Valuation, Sanmina Correlation, Sanmina Hype Analysis, Sanmina Volatility, Sanmina History as well as Sanmina Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Sanmina Stock please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.