Sanmina (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 77.00

SAYN Stock  EUR 74.70  0.42  0.56%   
Sanmina's future price is the expected price of Sanmina instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sanmina performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sanmina Backtesting, Sanmina Valuation, Sanmina Correlation, Sanmina Hype Analysis, Sanmina Volatility, Sanmina History as well as Sanmina Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Sanmina Stock please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.
  
Please specify Sanmina's target price for which you would like Sanmina odds to be computed.

Sanmina Target Price Odds to finish over 77.00

The tendency of Sanmina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 77.00  or more in 90 days
 74.70 90 days 77.00 
about 5.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sanmina to move over € 77.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.96 (This Sanmina probability density function shows the probability of Sanmina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sanmina price to stay between its current price of € 74.70  and € 77.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sanmina has a beta of -0.0477. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sanmina are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sanmina is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sanmina has an alpha of 0.408, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sanmina Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sanmina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sanmina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
72.4074.7077.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.9260.2282.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.1876.4878.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.1974.7376.27
Details

Sanmina Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sanmina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sanmina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sanmina, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sanmina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
6.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Sanmina Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sanmina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sanmina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Sanmina Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sanmina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sanmina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sanmina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57.8 M

Sanmina Technical Analysis

Sanmina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sanmina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sanmina. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sanmina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sanmina Predictive Forecast Models

Sanmina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sanmina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sanmina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sanmina

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sanmina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sanmina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Sanmina Stock

When determining whether Sanmina is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sanmina's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sanmina's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sanmina Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sanmina Backtesting, Sanmina Valuation, Sanmina Correlation, Sanmina Hype Analysis, Sanmina Volatility, Sanmina History as well as Sanmina Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Sanmina Stock please use our How to Invest in Sanmina guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sanmina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sanmina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sanmina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.