Schoeller Bleckmann (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.97

SBO Stock  EUR 28.90  0.35  1.23%   
Schoeller Bleckmann's future price is the expected price of Schoeller Bleckmann instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Schoeller Bleckmann Backtesting, Schoeller Bleckmann Valuation, Schoeller Bleckmann Correlation, Schoeller Bleckmann Hype Analysis, Schoeller Bleckmann Volatility, Schoeller Bleckmann History as well as Schoeller Bleckmann Performance.
  
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Schoeller Bleckmann Target Price Odds to finish below 27.97

The tendency of Schoeller Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 27.97  or more in 90 days
 28.90 90 days 27.97 
about 7.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Schoeller Bleckmann to drop to € 27.97  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.56 (This Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment probability density function shows the probability of Schoeller Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Schoeller Bleckmann price to stay between € 27.97  and its current price of €28.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Schoeller Bleckmann has a beta of 0.97. This usually implies Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Schoeller Bleckmann is expected to follow. Additionally Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Schoeller Bleckmann Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Schoeller Bleckmann

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Schoeller Bleckmann. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.8228.9030.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.3229.4031.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.8927.9730.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.4528.7829.11
Details

Schoeller Bleckmann Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Schoeller Bleckmann is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Schoeller Bleckmann's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Schoeller Bleckmann within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Schoeller Bleckmann Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Schoeller Bleckmann for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Schoeller Bleckmann can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schoeller Bleckmann generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Schoeller Bleckmann Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Schoeller Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Schoeller Bleckmann's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Schoeller Bleckmann's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.7 M

Schoeller Bleckmann Technical Analysis

Schoeller Bleckmann's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Schoeller Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Schoeller Bleckmann Oilfield Equipment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Schoeller Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Schoeller Bleckmann Predictive Forecast Models

Schoeller Bleckmann's time-series forecasting models is one of many Schoeller Bleckmann's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Schoeller Bleckmann's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Schoeller Bleckmann

Checking the ongoing alerts about Schoeller Bleckmann for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Schoeller Bleckmann help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Schoeller Bleckmann generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Schoeller Stock

Schoeller Bleckmann financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schoeller Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schoeller with respect to the benefits of owning Schoeller Bleckmann security.