Scatec Solar (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.69
| SCATC Stock | NOK 78.85 0.80 1.00% |
Scatec |
Scatec Solar Target Price Odds to finish below 80.69
The tendency of Scatec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 80.69 after 90 days |
| 78.85 | 90 days | 80.69 | about 46.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scatec Solar to stay under 80.69 after 90 days from now is about 46.49 (This Scatec Solar OL probability density function shows the probability of Scatec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Scatec Solar OL price to stay between its current price of 78.85 and 80.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Scatec Solar has a beta of 0.0587. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Scatec Solar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Scatec Solar OL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Scatec Solar OL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Scatec Solar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Scatec Solar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scatec Solar OL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Scatec Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Scatec Solar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scatec Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scatec Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scatec Solar OL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scatec Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0021 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Scatec Solar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scatec Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scatec Solar OL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Scatec Solar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Scatec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Scatec Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Scatec Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Scatec Solar Technical Analysis
Scatec Solar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scatec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scatec Solar OL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scatec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Scatec Solar Predictive Forecast Models
Scatec Solar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scatec Solar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scatec Solar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Scatec Solar OL
Checking the ongoing alerts about Scatec Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scatec Solar OL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Scatec Stock
Scatec Solar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scatec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scatec with respect to the benefits of owning Scatec Solar security.