SCUT SA (Romania) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.51
| SCBC Stock | 30.00 5.60 22.95% |
SCUT |
SCUT SA Target Price Odds to finish below 27.51
The tendency of SCUT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 27.51 or more in 90 days |
| 30.00 | 90 days | 27.51 | about 51.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SCUT SA to drop to 27.51 or more in 90 days from now is about 51.54 (This SCUT SA BACAU probability density function shows the probability of SCUT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SCUT SA BACAU price to stay between 27.51 and its current price of 30.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SCUT SA has a beta of 0.0053. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SCUT SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SCUT SA BACAU will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SCUT SA BACAU has an alpha of 0.301, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SCUT SA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SCUT SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCUT SA BACAU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SCUT SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SCUT SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SCUT SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SCUT SA BACAU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SCUT SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
SCUT SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SCUT SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SCUT SA BACAU can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SCUT SA BACAU had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
SCUT SA Technical Analysis
SCUT SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCUT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SCUT SA BACAU. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCUT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SCUT SA Predictive Forecast Models
SCUT SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many SCUT SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SCUT SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SCUT SA BACAU
Checking the ongoing alerts about SCUT SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SCUT SA BACAU help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SCUT SA BACAU had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |