SCUT SA Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

SCBC Stock   37.40  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SCUT SA BACAU on the next trading day is expected to be 37.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.08. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast SCUT SA's stock prices and determine the direction of SCUT SA BACAU's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SCUT SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. As of today the value of rsi of SCUT SA's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SCUT SA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SCUT SA BACAU, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SCUT SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SCUT SA BACAU from the perspective of SCUT SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SCUT SA BACAU on the next trading day is expected to be 37.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.08.

SCUT SA after-hype prediction price

    
  RON 37.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

SCUT SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SCUT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SCUT using various technical indicators. When you analyze SCUT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
SCUT SA simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for SCUT SA BACAU are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as SCUT SA BACAU prices get older.

SCUT SA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SCUT SA BACAU on the next trading day is expected to be 37.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52, mean absolute percentage error of 9.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SCUT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SCUT SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SCUT SA Stock Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SCUT SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SCUT SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.479
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1539
MADMean absolute deviation1.518
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0354
SAESum of the absolute errors91.0809
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting SCUT SA BACAU forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent SCUT SA observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for SCUT SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCUT SA BACAU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

SCUT SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SCUT SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SCUT SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SCUT SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SCUT SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SCUT SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SCUT SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SCUT SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SCUT SA BACAU entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SCUT SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of SCUT SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SCUT SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scut stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.