Scout E Plus Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 29.83

SCPZX Fund  USD 29.83  0.30  1.02%   
Scout E's future price is the expected price of Scout E instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Scout E Plus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Scout E Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Scout E Correlation, Scout E Hype Analysis, Scout E Volatility, Scout E History as well as Scout E Performance.
  
Please specify Scout E's target price for which you would like Scout E odds to be computed.

Scout E Target Price Odds to finish over 29.83

The tendency of Scout Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.83 90 days 29.83 
about 67.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Scout E to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.7 (This Scout E Plus probability density function shows the probability of Scout Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Scout E Plus has a beta of -0.0661. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Scout E are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Scout E Plus is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Scout E Plus has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Scout E Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Scout E

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scout E Plus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.5029.8330.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.5028.8332.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.3429.6730.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.3329.5629.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Scout E. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Scout E's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Scout E's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Scout E Plus.

Scout E Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Scout E is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Scout E's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Scout E Plus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Scout E within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.5

Scout E Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Scout E for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Scout E Plus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scout E Plus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Scout E Plus maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Scout E Technical Analysis

Scout E's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Scout Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Scout E Plus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Scout Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Scout E Predictive Forecast Models

Scout E's time-series forecasting models is one of many Scout E's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Scout E's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Scout E Plus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scout E for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Scout E Plus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Scout E Plus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Scout E Plus maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Scout Mutual Fund

Scout E financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scout Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scout with respect to the benefits of owning Scout E security.
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