Santacruz Silv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.56

SCZ Stock  CAD 0.28  0.01  3.45%   
Santacruz Silv's future price is the expected price of Santacruz Silv instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Santacruz Silv performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Santacruz Silv Backtesting, Santacruz Silv Valuation, Santacruz Silv Correlation, Santacruz Silv Hype Analysis, Santacruz Silv Volatility, Santacruz Silv History as well as Santacruz Silv Performance.
  
At this time, Santacruz Silv's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 12.53 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.02). Please specify Santacruz Silv's target price for which you would like Santacruz Silv odds to be computed.

Santacruz Silv Target Price Odds to finish over 17.56

The tendency of Santacruz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 17.56  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 17.56 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Santacruz Silv to move over C$ 17.56  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Santacruz Silv probability density function shows the probability of Santacruz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Santacruz Silv price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.28  and C$ 17.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Santacruz Silv has a beta of 0.7. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Santacruz Silv average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Santacruz Silv will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Santacruz Silv has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Santacruz Silv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Santacruz Silv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Santacruz Silv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.286.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.276.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.286.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.280.280.28
Details

Santacruz Silv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Santacruz Silv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Santacruz Silv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Santacruz Silv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Santacruz Silv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Santacruz Silv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Santacruz Silv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Santacruz Silv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Santacruz Silv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Santacruz Silv has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Santacruz Silv has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Santacruz Silv has accumulated C$17.77 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Santacruz Silv has accumulated 17.77 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Santacruz Silv has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Santacruz Silv until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Santacruz Silv's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Santacruz Silv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Santacruz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Santacruz Silv's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Santacruz Silv Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Santacruz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Santacruz Silv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Santacruz Silv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding352.3 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Santacruz Silv Technical Analysis

Santacruz Silv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Santacruz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Santacruz Silv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Santacruz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Santacruz Silv Predictive Forecast Models

Santacruz Silv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Santacruz Silv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Santacruz Silv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Santacruz Silv

Checking the ongoing alerts about Santacruz Silv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Santacruz Silv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Santacruz Silv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Santacruz Silv has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Santacruz Silv has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Santacruz Silv has accumulated C$17.77 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Santacruz Silv has accumulated 17.77 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Santacruz Silv has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Santacruz Silv until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Santacruz Silv's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Santacruz Silv sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Santacruz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Santacruz Silv's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for Santacruz Stock Analysis

When running Santacruz Silv's price analysis, check to measure Santacruz Silv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Santacruz Silv is operating at the current time. Most of Santacruz Silv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Santacruz Silv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Santacruz Silv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Santacruz Silv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.