Stampede Drilling Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0
SDI Stock | CAD 0.20 0.01 4.76% |
Stampede |
Stampede Drilling Target Price Odds to finish below 0
The tendency of Stampede Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.00 or more in 90 days |
0.20 | 90 days | 0.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stampede Drilling to drop to C$ 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Stampede Drilling probability density function shows the probability of Stampede Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stampede Drilling price to stay between C$ 0.00 and its current price of C$0.2 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stampede Drilling has a beta of 0.86. This usually implies Stampede Drilling market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Stampede Drilling is expected to follow. Additionally Stampede Drilling has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stampede Drilling Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Stampede Drilling
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stampede Drilling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stampede Drilling Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stampede Drilling is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stampede Drilling's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stampede Drilling, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stampede Drilling within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Stampede Drilling Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stampede Drilling for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stampede Drilling can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Stampede Drilling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Stampede Drilling has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Stampede Drilling has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Stampede Drilling is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Stampede Drilling has accumulated 21.05 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stampede Drilling has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stampede Drilling until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stampede Drilling's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stampede Drilling sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stampede to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stampede Drilling's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Stampede Drilling Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stampede Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stampede Drilling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stampede Drilling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 227.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Stampede Drilling Technical Analysis
Stampede Drilling's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stampede Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stampede Drilling. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stampede Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stampede Drilling Predictive Forecast Models
Stampede Drilling's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stampede Drilling's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stampede Drilling's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stampede Drilling
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stampede Drilling for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stampede Drilling help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Stampede Drilling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Stampede Drilling has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Stampede Drilling has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
Stampede Drilling is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Stampede Drilling has accumulated 21.05 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Stampede Drilling has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Stampede Drilling until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Stampede Drilling's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Stampede Drilling sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Stampede to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Stampede Drilling's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Stampede Stock Analysis
When running Stampede Drilling's price analysis, check to measure Stampede Drilling's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stampede Drilling is operating at the current time. Most of Stampede Drilling's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stampede Drilling's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stampede Drilling's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stampede Drilling to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.