Seabridge Gold Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.13
| SEA Stock | CAD 20.05 0.21 1.04% |
Seabridge |
Seabridge Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 18.13
The tendency of Seabridge Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 18.13 or more in 90 days |
| 20.05 | 90 days | 18.13 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seabridge Gold to drop to C$ 18.13 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Seabridge Gold probability density function shows the probability of Seabridge Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seabridge Gold price to stay between C$ 18.13 and its current price of C$20.05 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seabridge Gold has a beta of 0.1. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Seabridge Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seabridge Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seabridge Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Seabridge Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seabridge Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seabridge Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seabridge Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seabridge Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seabridge Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seabridge Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seabridge Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Seabridge Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seabridge Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seabridge Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seabridge Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seabridge Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (29.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Seabridge Gold has accumulated about 127.84 M in cash with (21.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.32. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board Acquires 148,088 Shares of Seabridge Gold Inc. - MarketBeat |
Seabridge Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seabridge Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seabridge Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seabridge Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.2 M |
Seabridge Gold Technical Analysis
Seabridge Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seabridge Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seabridge Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seabridge Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seabridge Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Seabridge Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seabridge Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seabridge Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seabridge Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seabridge Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seabridge Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seabridge Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Seabridge Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (29.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Seabridge Gold has accumulated about 127.84 M in cash with (21.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.32. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ontario Teachers Pension Plan Board Acquires 148,088 Shares of Seabridge Gold Inc. - MarketBeat |
Check out Seabridge Gold Backtesting, Seabridge Gold Valuation, Seabridge Gold Correlation, Seabridge Gold Hype Analysis, Seabridge Gold Volatility, Seabridge Gold History as well as Seabridge Gold Performance. To learn how to invest in Seabridge Stock, please use our How to Invest in Seabridge Gold guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.