Seafire AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.62
| SEAF Stock | SEK 5.62 0.24 4.46% |
Seafire |
Seafire AB Target Price Odds to finish over 5.62
The tendency of Seafire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.62 | 90 days | 5.62 | about 78.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seafire AB to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.06 (This Seafire AB probability density function shows the probability of Seafire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seafire AB has a beta of -0.57. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Seafire AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Seafire AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Seafire AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Seafire AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Seafire AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seafire AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seafire AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seafire AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seafire AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seafire AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seafire AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Seafire AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seafire AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seafire AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Seafire AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 421.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162.36 M. | |
| Seafire AB has accumulated about 176.24 M in cash with (20.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Seafire AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seafire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seafire AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seafire AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 176.2 M |
Seafire AB Technical Analysis
Seafire AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seafire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seafire AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seafire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seafire AB Predictive Forecast Models
Seafire AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seafire AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seafire AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seafire AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seafire AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seafire AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Seafire AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 421.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 162.36 M. | |
| Seafire AB has accumulated about 176.24 M in cash with (20.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Seafire Stock Analysis
When running Seafire AB's price analysis, check to measure Seafire AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seafire AB is operating at the current time. Most of Seafire AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seafire AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seafire AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seafire AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.