Sea Oil (Thailand) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.71
| SEAOIL Stock | THB 2.72 0.02 0.74% |
Sea |
Sea Oil Target Price Odds to finish below 2.71
The tendency of Sea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.71 or more in 90 days |
| 2.72 | 90 days | 2.71 | about 66.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sea Oil to drop to 2.71 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.93 (This Sea Oil Public probability density function shows the probability of Sea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sea Oil Public price to stay between 2.71 and its current price of 2.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sea Oil Public has a beta of -0.2. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sea Oil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sea Oil Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sea Oil Public has an alpha of 0.2671, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sea Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sea Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sea Oil Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sea Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sea Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sea Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sea Oil Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sea Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Sea Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sea Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sea Oil Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sea Oil Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sea Oil Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Sea Oil Public has accumulated about 571.47 M in cash with (61.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.82. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sea Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sea Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sea Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 649.5 M |
Sea Oil Technical Analysis
Sea Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sea Oil Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sea Oil Predictive Forecast Models
Sea Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sea Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sea Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sea Oil Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sea Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sea Oil Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sea Oil Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sea Oil Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Sea Oil Public has accumulated about 571.47 M in cash with (61.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.82. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sea Stock
Sea Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sea with respect to the benefits of owning Sea Oil security.