Sentinel Mon Stock Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 64.73

SENCX Fund  USD 71.76  0.11  0.15%   
Sentinel Common's future price is the expected price of Sentinel Common instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sentinel Mon Stock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sentinel Common Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sentinel Common Correlation, Sentinel Common Hype Analysis, Sentinel Common Volatility, Sentinel Common History as well as Sentinel Common Performance.
  
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Sentinel Common Target Price Odds to finish below 64.73

The tendency of Sentinel Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 64.73  or more in 90 days
 71.76 90 days 64.73 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sentinel Common to drop to $ 64.73  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sentinel Mon Stock probability density function shows the probability of Sentinel Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sentinel Mon Stock price to stay between $ 64.73  and its current price of $71.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sentinel Mon Stock has a beta of -0.087. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sentinel Common are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sentinel Mon Stock is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sentinel Mon Stock has an alpha of 0.0876, implying that it can generate a 0.0876 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sentinel Common Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sentinel Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentinel Mon Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sentinel Common's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.0471.7672.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.7464.4678.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.2670.9871.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.6271.7271.83
Details

Sentinel Common Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sentinel Common is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sentinel Common's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sentinel Mon Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sentinel Common within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Sentinel Common Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sentinel Common for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sentinel Mon Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.44% of its assets in cash

Sentinel Common Technical Analysis

Sentinel Common's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sentinel Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sentinel Mon Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sentinel Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sentinel Common Predictive Forecast Models

Sentinel Common's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sentinel Common's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sentinel Common's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sentinel Mon Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sentinel Common for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sentinel Mon Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.44% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Sentinel Mutual Fund

Sentinel Common financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sentinel Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sentinel with respect to the benefits of owning Sentinel Common security.
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Alpha Finder
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Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon