Senzime AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.87

SEZI Stock  SEK 5.84  0.01  0.17%   
Senzime AB's future price is the expected price of Senzime AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Senzime AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Senzime AB Backtesting, Senzime AB Valuation, Senzime AB Correlation, Senzime AB Hype Analysis, Senzime AB Volatility, Senzime AB History as well as Senzime AB Performance.
  
Please specify Senzime AB's target price for which you would like Senzime AB odds to be computed.

Senzime AB Target Price Odds to finish over 4.87

The tendency of Senzime Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 4.87  in 90 days
 5.84 90 days 4.87 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Senzime AB to stay above kr 4.87  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Senzime AB probability density function shows the probability of Senzime Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Senzime AB price to stay between kr 4.87  and its current price of kr5.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Senzime AB has a beta of -0.63. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Senzime AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Senzime AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Senzime AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Senzime AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Senzime AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Senzime AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.595.859.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.905.168.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.746.009.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.775.865.95
Details

Senzime AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Senzime AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Senzime AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Senzime AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Senzime AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Senzime AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Senzime AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Senzime AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Senzime AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Senzime AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 10.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (82.14 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.39 M).
Senzime AB has accumulated about 74.87 M in cash with (81.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42.
Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Senzime AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Senzime Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Senzime AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Senzime AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments74.9 M

Senzime AB Technical Analysis

Senzime AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Senzime Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Senzime AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Senzime Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Senzime AB Predictive Forecast Models

Senzime AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Senzime AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Senzime AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Senzime AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Senzime AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Senzime AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Senzime AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Senzime AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 10.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (82.14 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.39 M).
Senzime AB has accumulated about 74.87 M in cash with (81.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42.
Roughly 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Senzime Stock Analysis

When running Senzime AB's price analysis, check to measure Senzime AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Senzime AB is operating at the current time. Most of Senzime AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Senzime AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Senzime AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Senzime AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.