Siegfried Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1112.85
| SFZN Stock | CHF 1,104 16.00 1.43% |
Siegfried |
Siegfried Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 1112.85
The tendency of Siegfried Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 1,113 or more in 90 days |
| 1,104 | 90 days | 1,113 | about 80.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siegfried Holding to move over ₣ 1,113 or more in 90 days from now is about 80.61 (This Siegfried Holding probability density function shows the probability of Siegfried Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siegfried Holding price to stay between its current price of ₣ 1,104 and ₣ 1,113 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Siegfried Holding has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Siegfried Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Siegfried Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Siegfried Holding has an alpha of 0.0016, implying that it can generate a 0.001615 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Siegfried Holding Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Siegfried Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siegfried Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Siegfried Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siegfried Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siegfried Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siegfried Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siegfried Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Siegfried Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siegfried Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siegfried Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siegfried Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73 M |
Siegfried Holding Technical Analysis
Siegfried Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siegfried Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siegfried Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siegfried Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Siegfried Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Siegfried Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Siegfried Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siegfried Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Siegfried Holding in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Siegfried Holding's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Siegfried Holding options trading.
Additional Tools for Siegfried Stock Analysis
When running Siegfried Holding's price analysis, check to measure Siegfried Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Siegfried Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Siegfried Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Siegfried Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Siegfried Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Siegfried Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.