Strategem Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.97

SGE Stock  CAD 0.36  0.00  0.00%   
Strategem Capital's future price is the expected price of Strategem Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Strategem Capital Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Strategem Capital Backtesting, Strategem Capital Valuation, Strategem Capital Correlation, Strategem Capital Hype Analysis, Strategem Capital Volatility, Strategem Capital History as well as Strategem Capital Performance.
  
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Strategem Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 2.97

The tendency of Strategem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 2.97  or more in 90 days
 0.36 90 days 2.97 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Strategem Capital to move over C$ 2.97  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Strategem Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Strategem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Strategem Capital Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.36  and C$ 2.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Strategem Capital Corp has a beta of -0.73. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Strategem Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Strategem Capital Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Strategem Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Strategem Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Strategem Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strategem Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.342.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.332.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.322.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.340.370.40
Details

Strategem Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Strategem Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Strategem Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Strategem Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Strategem Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Strategem Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Strategem Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Strategem Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Strategem Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Strategem Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 477 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.73 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (19.57 M).
Strategem Capital Corp has accumulated about 11.85 M in cash with (2.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Strategem Capital Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com

Strategem Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Strategem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Strategem Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Strategem Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.2 M
Shares Float1.9 M

Strategem Capital Technical Analysis

Strategem Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Strategem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Strategem Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Strategem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Strategem Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Strategem Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Strategem Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Strategem Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Strategem Capital Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Strategem Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Strategem Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Strategem Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Strategem Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 477 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.73 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (19.57 M).
Strategem Capital Corp has accumulated about 11.85 M in cash with (2.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Strategem Capital Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com

Additional Tools for Strategem Stock Analysis

When running Strategem Capital's price analysis, check to measure Strategem Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Strategem Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Strategem Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Strategem Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Strategem Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Strategem Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.