Stewart Global Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 33.94

SGISX Fund  USD 35.25  0.21  0.59%   
Stewart Global's future price is the expected price of Stewart Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stewart Global Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stewart Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Stewart Global Correlation, Stewart Global Hype Analysis, Stewart Global Volatility, Stewart Global History as well as Stewart Global Performance.
  
Please specify Stewart Global's target price for which you would like Stewart Global odds to be computed.

Stewart Global Target Price Odds to finish over 33.94

The tendency of Stewart Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 33.94  in 90 days
 35.25 90 days 33.94 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stewart Global to stay above $ 33.94  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Stewart Global Equity probability density function shows the probability of Stewart Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stewart Global Equity price to stay between $ 33.94  and its current price of $35.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stewart Global has a beta of 0.71. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stewart Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stewart Global Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stewart Global Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stewart Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stewart Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stewart Global Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stewart Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.4935.2536.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.6034.3638.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.4335.1935.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.1934.9135.64
Details

Stewart Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stewart Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stewart Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stewart Global Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stewart Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Stewart Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stewart Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stewart Global Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.1% of its assets in stocks

Stewart Global Technical Analysis

Stewart Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stewart Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stewart Global Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stewart Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stewart Global Predictive Forecast Models

Stewart Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stewart Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stewart Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stewart Global Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stewart Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stewart Global Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.1% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Stewart Mutual Fund

Stewart Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stewart Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stewart with respect to the benefits of owning Stewart Global security.
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