Hotel Sahid (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 901.89
| SHID Stock | IDR 935.00 20.00 2.09% |
Hotel |
Hotel Sahid Target Price Odds to finish below 901.89
The tendency of Hotel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 901.89 or more in 90 days |
| 935.00 | 90 days | 901.89 | roughly 2.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hotel Sahid to drop to 901.89 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.19 (This Hotel Sahid Jaya probability density function shows the probability of Hotel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hotel Sahid Jaya price to stay between 901.89 and its current price of 935.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hotel Sahid has a beta of 0.61. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Hotel Sahid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hotel Sahid Jaya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hotel Sahid Jaya has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hotel Sahid Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hotel Sahid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hotel Sahid Jaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hotel Sahid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hotel Sahid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hotel Sahid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hotel Sahid Jaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hotel Sahid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Hotel Sahid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hotel Sahid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hotel Sahid Jaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hotel Sahid Jaya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hotel Sahid Jaya has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 69.42 B. Net Loss for the year was (41.78 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.02 B. | |
| About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Hotel Sahid Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hotel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hotel Sahid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hotel Sahid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
Hotel Sahid Technical Analysis
Hotel Sahid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hotel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hotel Sahid Jaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hotel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hotel Sahid Predictive Forecast Models
Hotel Sahid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hotel Sahid's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hotel Sahid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hotel Sahid Jaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hotel Sahid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hotel Sahid Jaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hotel Sahid Jaya generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hotel Sahid Jaya has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 69.42 B. Net Loss for the year was (41.78 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.02 B. | |
| About 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hotel Stock
Hotel Sahid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hotel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hotel with respect to the benefits of owning Hotel Sahid security.