Sunstone Hotel Investors Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.33
| SHO Stock | USD 12.21 0.04 0.33% |
Sunstone |
Sunstone Hotel Target Price Odds to finish below 6.33
The tendency of Sunstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.33 or more in 90 days |
| 12.21 | 90 days | 6.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunstone Hotel to drop to $ 6.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sunstone Hotel Investors probability density function shows the probability of Sunstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunstone Hotel Investors price to stay between $ 6.33 and its current price of $12.21 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sunstone Hotel will likely underperform. Additionally Sunstone Hotel Investors has an alpha of 0.2069, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sunstone Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sunstone Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunstone Hotel Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sunstone Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunstone Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunstone Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunstone Hotel Investors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunstone Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Sunstone Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunstone Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunstone Hotel Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sunstone Hotel is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from cleantechnica.com: Big Solar And Transmission News In Oregon, Wisconsin, The Midwest |
Sunstone Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunstone Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunstone Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 205.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 426.4 M |
Sunstone Hotel Technical Analysis
Sunstone Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunstone Hotel Investors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sunstone Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
Sunstone Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunstone Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunstone Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sunstone Hotel Investors
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunstone Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunstone Hotel Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sunstone Hotel is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from cleantechnica.com: Big Solar And Transmission News In Oregon, Wisconsin, The Midwest |
Check out Sunstone Hotel Backtesting, Sunstone Hotel Valuation, Sunstone Hotel Correlation, Sunstone Hotel Hype Analysis, Sunstone Hotel Volatility, Sunstone Hotel History as well as Sunstone Hotel Performance. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Hotel & Resort REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunstone Hotel. If investors know Sunstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunstone Hotel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share 4.493 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Sunstone Hotel Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunstone Hotel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunstone Hotel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunstone Hotel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunstone Hotel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunstone Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunstone Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunstone Hotel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.