Sunstone Hotel Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SHO Stock | USD 9.15 0.14 1.55% |
Sunstone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Sunstone Hotel's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sunstone Hotel's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sunstone Hotel fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Sunstone Hotel's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.13 | Wall Street Target Price 10 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using Sunstone Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunstone Hotel Investors from the perspective of Sunstone Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sunstone Hotel using Sunstone Hotel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sunstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sunstone Hotel's stock price.
Sunstone Hotel Short Interest
An investor who is long Sunstone Hotel may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sunstone Hotel and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sunstone Hotel with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.0463 | Short Percent 0.0758 | Short Ratio 5.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.4 M | 50 Day MA 9.115 |
Sunstone Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sunstone Hotel Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07.Sunstone Hotel Investors Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sunstone Hotel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sunstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sunstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sunstone Hotel Investors. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sunstone Hotel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sunstone Hotel.
Sunstone Hotel Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Sunstone Hotel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunstone Hotel Investors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunstone Hotel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunstone Hotel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunstone Hotel's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sunstone Hotel Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07. Sunstone Hotel after-hype prediction price | USD 9.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunstone Hotel to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sunstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sunstone Hotel Investors will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sunstone Hotel trading at USD 9.15, that is roughly USD 0.006348 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sunstone Hotel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sunstone Hotel Investors options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sunstone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sunstone Hotel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sunstone Hotel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sunstone Hotel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sunstone Hotel's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sunstone Hotel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sunstone Hotel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sunstone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sunstone Hotel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sunstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sunstone Hotel Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sunstone Hotel Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 8.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sunstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sunstone Hotel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sunstone Hotel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sunstone Hotel | Sunstone Hotel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sunstone Hotel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sunstone Hotel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sunstone Hotel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.47 and 10.49, respectively. We have considered Sunstone Hotel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sunstone Hotel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sunstone Hotel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7343 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1487 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.0695 |
Predictive Modules for Sunstone Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunstone Hotel Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sunstone Hotel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sunstone Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunstone Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunstone Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sunstone Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sunstone Hotel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunstone Hotel's historical news coverage. Sunstone Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.64 and 10.66, respectively. We have considered Sunstone Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sunstone Hotel is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunstone Hotel Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sunstone Hotel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunstone Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunstone Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunstone Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.51 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.15 | 9.15 | 0.00 |
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Sunstone Hotel Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Sunstone Hotel Investors is traded for 9.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Sunstone is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sunstone Hotel is about 37750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.15. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sunstone Hotel Investors has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunstone Hotel to cross-verify your projections.Sunstone Hotel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sunstone Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunstone Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunstone Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunstone Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | (0.01) | 2.83 | (2.49) | 6.06 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.84 | (3.72) | 11.15 | |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.03 | 2.09 | (1.54) | 5.90 | |
| GNL | Global Net Lease | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.24 | 2.49 | (1.36) | 4.57 | |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | (0.21) | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.07 | 2.13 | (1.95) | 8.30 | |
| DX | Dynex Capital | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.90 | 0.06 | 1.89 | (0.95) | 7.50 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.02 | 4.12 | (2.35) | 8.43 | |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels Resorts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.08 | 3.01 | (2.11) | 7.10 | |
| EXPI | eXp World Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.80 | (3.31) | 13.88 | |
| PK | Park Hotels Resorts | (0.06) | 11 per month | 1.51 | 0.07 | 4.34 | (2.60) | 9.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sunstone Hotel
For every potential investor in Sunstone, whether a beginner or expert, Sunstone Hotel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sunstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sunstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sunstone Hotel's price trends.Sunstone Hotel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sunstone Hotel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sunstone Hotel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunstone Hotel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sunstone Hotel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sunstone Hotel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sunstone Hotel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sunstone Hotel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sunstone Hotel Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 26151.83 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7778 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.09 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.14 |
Sunstone Hotel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sunstone Hotel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sunstone Hotel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sunstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.69 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sunstone Hotel
The number of cover stories for Sunstone Hotel depends on current market conditions and Sunstone Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunstone Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunstone Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sunstone Hotel Short Properties
Sunstone Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunstone Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunstone Hotel Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunstone Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunstone Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 202.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunstone Hotel to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Hotel & Resort REITs sector continue expanding? Could Sunstone diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunstone Hotel. If investors know Sunstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sunstone Hotel data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 0.02 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.013 |
The market value of Sunstone Hotel Investors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunstone Hotel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunstone Hotel's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Sunstone Hotel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunstone Hotel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunstone Hotel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunstone Hotel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Sunstone Hotel's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.