Shopify Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 148.79
| SHOP Stock | CAD 157.67 2.41 1.55% |
Shopify |
Shopify Target Price Odds to finish below 148.79
The tendency of Shopify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 148.79 or more in 90 days |
| 157.67 | 90 days | 148.79 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shopify to drop to C$ 148.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Shopify probability density function shows the probability of Shopify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shopify price to stay between C$ 148.79 and its current price of C$157.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shopify has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Shopify average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shopify will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shopify has an alpha of 0.6766, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shopify Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shopify
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shopify. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shopify Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shopify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shopify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shopify, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shopify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Shopify Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shopify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shopify can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Analyst Downgrade Hits Shopify Amid Valuation Concerns - Yahoo Finance |
Shopify Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shopify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shopify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shopify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
Shopify Technical Analysis
Shopify's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shopify Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shopify. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shopify Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shopify Predictive Forecast Models
Shopify's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shopify's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shopify's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shopify
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shopify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shopify help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shopify appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Analyst Downgrade Hits Shopify Amid Valuation Concerns - Yahoo Finance |
Check out Shopify Backtesting, Shopify Valuation, Shopify Correlation, Shopify Hype Analysis, Shopify Volatility, Shopify History as well as Shopify Performance. To learn how to invest in Shopify Stock, please use our How to Invest in Shopify guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.