Shopify Stock Performance
| SHOP Stock | CAD 156.72 6.46 3.96% |
The entity has a beta of 1.05, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Shopify returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Shopify is expected to follow. At this point, Shopify has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to validate Shopify's maximum drawdown, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Shopify performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Shopify has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 10:1 | Last Split Date 2022-06-29 |
1 | HSTM or SHOP Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now - Yahoo Finance | 12/10/2025 |
2 | Shopify Inc. SHOP Shares Acquired by Thrivent Financial for Lutherans - MarketBeat | 12/24/2025 |
3 | Shopify stock slides today as year-end tech rebalancing hits SHOP ahead of New Years Eve session - ts2.tech | 12/30/2025 |
4 | Shopifys AI Push Paid Off Handsomely In 2025 Will The New Year Usher In More Gains - Stocktwits | 01/02/2026 |
5 | Assessing Shopify Valuation As Momentum Cools After Strong Multi Year Shareholder Returns - simplywall.st | 01/06/2026 |
6 | Whats Going On With Shopify Stock - Benzinga | 01/15/2026 |
7 | Why Shopify Stock Is Down Today - The Globe and Mail | 01/20/2026 |
8 | Inventory Reduction Explained Methods, Challenges, and Practical Tips - Shopify | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.4 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.6 B |
Shopify |
Shopify Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 21,422 in Shopify on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5,750) from holding Shopify or give up 26.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shopify is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.116% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Shopify, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Shopify Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Shopify Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 156.72 | 90 days | 156.72 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shopify to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Shopify probability density function shows the probability of Shopify Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Shopify Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shopify
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shopify. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shopify Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shopify is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shopify's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shopify, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shopify within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.69 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Shopify Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shopify for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shopify can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shopify has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Shopify is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Inventory Reduction Explained Methods, Challenges, and Practical Tips - Shopify |
Shopify Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shopify Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shopify's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shopify's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B |
Shopify Fundamentals Growth
Shopify Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shopify, and Shopify fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shopify Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0774 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 228.15 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.23 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 3.13 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 12.45 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 19.94 X | ||||
| Revenue | 8.88 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 5.21 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.28 B | ||||
| Net Income | 2.02 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.5 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.48 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.13 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 11.17 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 13.15 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.62 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.86 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 213.25 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 13.92 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.63 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 5.3 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 2.07 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 134.67 M | ||||
About Shopify Performance
By examining Shopify's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Shopify's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Shopify is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 1.94 | 1.64 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.15 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.13 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.17 |
Things to note about Shopify performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shopify for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shopify help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shopify generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Shopify has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Shopify is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Inventory Reduction Explained Methods, Challenges, and Practical Tips - Shopify |
- Analyzing Shopify's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shopify's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Shopify's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Shopify's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shopify's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shopify's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shopify's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shopify. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. To learn how to invest in Shopify Stock, please use our How to Invest in Shopify guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.