Sienna Senior Living Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.41

SIA Stock  CAD 16.84  0.19  1.12%   
Sienna Senior's future price is the expected price of Sienna Senior instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sienna Senior Living performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sienna Senior Backtesting, Sienna Senior Valuation, Sienna Senior Correlation, Sienna Senior Hype Analysis, Sienna Senior Volatility, Sienna Senior History as well as Sienna Senior Performance.
  
At this time, Sienna Senior's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 24th of November 2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 14.06, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.00. Please specify Sienna Senior's target price for which you would like Sienna Senior odds to be computed.

Sienna Senior Target Price Odds to finish below 13.41

The tendency of Sienna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 13.41  or more in 90 days
 16.84 90 days 13.41 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sienna Senior to drop to C$ 13.41  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sienna Senior Living probability density function shows the probability of Sienna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sienna Senior Living price to stay between C$ 13.41  and its current price of C$16.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sienna Senior Living has a beta of -0.031. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sienna Senior are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sienna Senior Living is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sienna Senior Living has an alpha of 0.1766, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sienna Senior Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sienna Senior

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sienna Senior Living. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7916.8417.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4114.4618.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.1817.2318.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details

Sienna Senior Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sienna Senior is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sienna Senior's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sienna Senior Living, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sienna Senior within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Sienna Senior Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sienna Senior for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sienna Senior Living can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sienna Senior Living has accumulated 1.01 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Sienna Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sienna Senior until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sienna Senior's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sienna Senior Living sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sienna to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sienna Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Consider Sienna Senior Living for a Stable Monthly Income - The Motley Fool Canada

Sienna Senior Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sienna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sienna Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sienna Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73 M
Cash And Short Term Investments24.4 M

Sienna Senior Technical Analysis

Sienna Senior's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sienna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sienna Senior Living. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sienna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sienna Senior Predictive Forecast Models

Sienna Senior's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sienna Senior's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sienna Senior's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sienna Senior Living

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sienna Senior for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sienna Senior Living help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sienna Senior Living has accumulated 1.01 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Sienna Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sienna Senior until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sienna Senior's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sienna Senior Living sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sienna to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sienna Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Consider Sienna Senior Living for a Stable Monthly Income - The Motley Fool Canada

Other Information on Investing in Sienna Stock

Sienna Senior financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sienna Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sienna with respect to the benefits of owning Sienna Senior security.